Scientists prepare for Arctic conditions during a National Science Foundation-sponsored training session in Utqiagvik, Alaska. Photo: JR Ancheta / University of Alaska Fairbanks
The Arctic is warming faster than any other region on the planet, with enormous implications for the future of global climate. This year, CU Boulder researchers will play a leading role in a historic expedition to study one of the Earthâs most remote environments firsthand.
The unprecedented (MOSAiC) will send a German icebreaker into Arctic waters, where it will freeze itself into the winter pack ice to drift for an entire year, allowing around 500 scientists from 17 countries to take detailed measurements of the ice, ocean and air. Heavy aircraft and ships will periodically ferry researchers and supplies to and from the mainland.
Departing in September from Tromsø, Norway, the R/V Polarstern will park itself in the ice pack and then drift towards the North Pole using the natural patterns of the ice, allowing those onboard to observe the atmospheric and oceanic processes that affect ice formation, evolution and decay over a full season.Ěý
The vessel will function as a comprehensive observatory and base camp, operating an array of buoys, ice-tethered profilers, remote stations, underwater drifters, unmanned aerial systems and more.Ěý
Itâs an opportunity that comes after more than a decade of planning from atmospheric scientist Matthew Shupe, who will be aboard for the missionâs first two-plus months and then again in summer 2020.Ěý
âThe foundation of MOSAiC is seeing the entire Arctic system in different ways, from many different angles,â said Shupe, a researcher with CU Boulderâs (CIRES) and NOAA. âItâs really turned out to be an all-star team of Arctic researchers, with expertise from all around the world working on a shared vision.âĚý
The expedition, which is being spearheaded by the Germany-based (AWI), will have a total budget over $130 million. More than two dozen CU Boulder researchers will participate in MOSAiC, funded with more than $10 million from the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy and NASA.
The R/V Polarstern. Photo: Mario Hoppmann / Alfred Wegener Institute
The science
One of the missionâs key goals, Shupe said, is to untangle what are known as coupled processes, such as the complex energy interactions between clouds, water, ice and air.
âHow does energy flow through the system?â said Shupe. âThe sea ice is the integrator, where all of these factors converge.â
Loss of sea ice in recent decades has exposed more open water, reducing solar reflectivity and allowing more heat to be trapped in the systemâa potentially devastating feedback loop. Scientists are racing to understand these processes before itâs too late.
Twenty years ago, Shupe was aboard the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) study, an international U.S.-led expedition which traveled to the Arctic to study heat transfer processes. That voyage helped shape his scientific career, he said, and MOSAiC will mark another giant leap forward in evaluating current and future models in ways that have never been possible before.
Shupe and a team of around 10 colleaguesâincluding CIRES research scientists Ola Persson, Dave Costa and Chris Coxâhave been developing their instrumentation for MOSAiC for the past couple years, with dedicated support from CU Boulder, NOAA and CIRES administrators.
âItâs certainly desirable to observe the Arctic remotely, but you canât look at these processes in a detailed way without being there,â Shupe said. âYou need sophisticated instruments like cloud radar that canât be operated autonomously. From a biological standpoint, there are lots of mandatory analyses that require physical samples from the field.â
The preparation
Science in the Arctic necessitates a hearty dose of survival training to prepare for a landscape that is all but certain to feature minus-40 degree Fahrenheit temperatures, high winds, months of total darkness, whiteouts and unpredictable ice conditions.
âThe first and most important measure of success: no injuries,â Shupe said.
In April, several dozen MOSAiC researchers attended a National Science Foundation-sponsored training session in Utqiagvik, Alaska, near the northernmost point in the United States. There, they learned how to dig snow pits, drive snowmobiles and watch out for polar bears.
Shupe, who plans to deploy three metal sleds loaded with sensitive instruments for measuring near-surface meteorological and energy budget properties, says that every single piece of equipment needs to be winter-proofed and bear-proofed.
âReplacements will be hard to come by,â he deadpanned.
Back in Boulder, Colorado, on a 90-degree day in July, researchers gathered in a NOAA classroom to learn even more practical cold weather survival skills. The safety instructor, Kevin Pettway led the group in a series of exercises and drills ranging from tying a figure-8 knot to using ice screws for a guyline to improvising a gear âburritoâ to wrap up anyone suffering from hypothermia.
The fickle ice itself, however, could be the greatest challenge. While multiyear ice has survived previous summer melt and refrozen to become more stable than its first-year counterpart, it still features impassible ridges and melt ponds that can be apparent one day and disguised by fresh snowfall the next. Mile-long cracks can formâand disappearâwith little to no warning.
âYou have to always look for the signs of change in the ice,â Pettway said, emphasizing situational awareness above all. âCracks can be covered up in a day.âĚý
MOSAiC staff members will take painstaking efforts to safeguard the research site, including flagging systems, radio communication, navigational aides, fencing around the shipâs perimeter and armed security details to keep the bears away. Still, Pettway said, tunnel vision is a real thing on a featureless landscape and GPS wonât always be reliable that far north.
âIf you canât clearly see what youâre walking toward, stop,â he said.
Photo: Mario Hoppmann / Alfred Wegener Institute
The education
MOSAiCâs transpolar drift has historical precedent dating back centuries. In 1893, the Norwegian explorer Fridtjof Nansen and his crew deliberately froze their ship near Siberia in the hopes of drifting to the North Pole. The voyage did not reach the pole successfully, but nevertheless contributed valuable information on oceanography and current patterns.
The eternal allure of Earthâs farthest, most forbidding regions makes for a terrific educational opportunity, said Anne Gold, director of CIRES Education & Outreach.Ěý
âPolar regions are fascinating because theyâre so far away and have inspired multiple generations to seek out knowledge,â said Gold. âWe see tremendous opportunity to engage student interest around this kind of exploration and engineering.â
Gold will be aboard the Polarsternâs sister vessel and support ship, the R/V Akademik Federov, during the first leg of the mission. While in the field, the Federov and the Association of Polar Early Career Scientists (APECS) will host MOSAiC School 2019, a program for 20 international graduate students to gain hands-on research experience and become ambassadors to schools in their home countries.
Among those earning a coveted berth: CU Boulder engineering PhD student Sean Horvath, who studies the variability of summer Arctic sea ice in the Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering. He expects that he and his fellow students will lead lectures about Arctic field work and help set up the various sensors being deployed for the year.Ěý
âIâm most excited about finally seeing the area Iâve been studying for so long,â said Horvath. âI donât think thereâs a single aspect about this trip that will not be beneficial to my future career, but I think being exposed to the various aspects of Arctic science, data collection techniques and networking with other researchers will really help propel me forward.â
And if all goes to plan, everyone at home will have the opportunity to experience the Arcticâs staggeringly beautiful pancake ice fields and aurora-lit night skies, too. Through a partnership with Fiske Planetarium, cinematographers on board will collect stunning high-definition footage to create a full-length planetarium show to be released internationally in 2020.Ěý
The hope, Gold says, is that MOSAiCâs scientific and educational impact extends far beyond a single year in the ice.
âWe will come home with a wealth of rich materials to fill out lesson plans and demonstrate the relevance of these Arctic processes,â Gold said. âWeâre also building bridges to the next group of young polar scientists.â
The year ahead
In the months to come, numerous CU Boulder researchers from all across campus will travel to the Polarstern in order to begin their experiments, some of which will last nearly the entire time the ship is encased in ice.Ěý
CIRES research scientist Gijs de Boer is collaborating with John Cassano of the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and CU Boulder aerospace engineering professors Dale Lawrence and Brian Argrow to fly drones to collect data on near surface conditions. The drones can take fine-grain airborne measurements of the lower atmosphere without a runway or other cumbersome infrastructure used by traditional planes that arenât feasible on the ice. Their research could eventually lead to future unmanned deployments.
HĂŠlène Angot, a post-doctoral researcher in the (INSTAAR), will join the mission in mid-2020. She and her colleagues, Professor Detlev Helmig of INSTAAR and Byron Blomquist of CIRES, will study the fate of contaminants and volatile organic compound emissions exacerbated by climate change, such as airborne mercury.Ěý
âTrace gases can be deposited on sea ice or be released in the atmosphere, contributing to ozone formation,â Angot said. âThe Arctic is changing and we donât fully understand it yet, but we need to in order to better predict the next 20 to 30 years. This is perhaps the last time that weâll have this kind of opportunity.â
There is still lots to do between now and September. Plans must be finalized. Gear must be shipped. Manifests must be checked and double checked. A small army of scientists, crew members and other support staff will descend on Tromsø.
But as the missionâs start date draws near, Shupe is excited to return to the Arctic and bring some of the worldâs most advanced scientific resources to bear on an issue with urgent global consequences.
âCIRES, CU and NOAA are at the forefront of polar research, so it was a natural fit for us to take part in this truly exciting international collaboration,â Shupe said.
